Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.000690 0.000784 0.000885 0.000998 0.001123 0.001256 0.001408
2025-08-31 0.000522 0.000649 0.000793 0.000967 0.001171 0.001399 0.001675
2025-09-07 0.000442 0.000585 0.000753 0.000965 0.001222 0.001521 0.001893
2025-09-14 0.000382 0.000534 0.000720 0.000964 0.001269 0.001634 0.002101
2025-09-21 0.000332 0.000487 0.000685 0.000953 0.001298 0.001721 0.002275
2025-09-28 0.000287 0.000443 0.000649 0.000935 0.001314 0.001790 0.002425
2025-10-05 0.000266 0.000427 0.000647 0.000959 0.001383 0.001925 0.002660
2025-10-12 0.000245 0.000409 0.000641 0.000977 0.001442 0.002048 0.002881
2025-10-19 0.000219 0.000382 0.000617 0.000968 0.001464 0.002121 0.003039
2025-10-26 0.000195 0.000355 0.000593 0.000957 0.001480 0.002185 0.003185
2025-11-02 0.000180 0.000340 0.000585 0.000966 0.001525 0.002289 0.003384
2025-11-09 0.000164 0.000322 0.000570 0.000966 0.001554 0.002371 0.003556
2025-11-16 0.000143 0.000294 0.000538 0.000937 0.001543 0.002396 0.003653
2025-11-23 0.000125 0.000269 0.000509 0.000911 0.001532 0.002423 0.003750
2025-11-30 0.000113 0.000254 0.000496 0.000907 0.001556 0.002497 0.003915
2025-12-07 0.000103 0.000241 0.000484 0.000907 0.001583 0.002576 0.004088
2025-12-14 0.000093 0.000226 0.000467 0.000896 0.001593 0.002630 0.004227
2025-12-21 0.000082 0.000210 0.000448 0.000879 0.001593 0.002668 0.004342
2025-12-28 0.000079 0.000207 0.000452 0.000902 0.001656 0.002803 0.004600
2026-01-04 0.000075 0.000203 0.000452 0.000919 0.001710 0.002923 0.004840
2026-01-11 0.000067 0.000192 0.000439 0.000911 0.001722 0.002980 0.004986
2026-01-18 0.000061 0.000180 0.000424 0.000900 0.001728 0.003029 0.005120
2026-01-25 0.000057 0.000175 0.000421 0.000909 0.001769 0.003130 0.005335